Allstate Beats Profit Estimates at $9.76 a Share as Revenue Falls Short

Catastrophe losses of $1.65 billion in Property-Liability drove a sharp drop in underwriting income from a year earlier.

A claims adjuster carefully assessing the damage done to a car.
Photo: Juice Dash/Shutterstock.com

Key points

  • Adjusted EPS of $9.76 beat the $6.96 consensus; GAAP EPS was $8.03
  • Revenue of $17.35 billion rose 0.5% from a year earlier but missed the $17.46 billion estimate
  • Catastrophe losses rose to $1.65 billion from $558 million, cutting underwriting income to $2.0 billion
  • Protection Services revenue rose 6.9% to $964 million; policies in force reached 217.6 million

Allstate (NYSE: ALL) reported third-quarter revenue of $17.35 billion, below the $17.46 billion analysts expected, and adjusted earnings of $9.76 per diluted share, above the $6.96 consensus estimate, in an 8-K furnished Wednesday, Nov. 4.

Revenue rose 0.5% from a year earlier, or $93 million. Net income applicable to common shareholders was $2.1 billion, or $8.03 per diluted share, compared with $3.7 billion, or $13.95 per share, a year earlier. The company said the decline was primarily due to increased catastrophe losses, a gain on the sale of the group health business in 2025 and net losses on investments and derivatives, partly offset by higher earned premiums. Adjusted net income was $2.5 billion, or $9.76 per diluted share, compared with $3.0 billion, or $11.17, a year earlier.

Property-Liability and catastrophe losses

Property-Liability earned premiums rose 3.8% to $15.1 billion. The recorded combined ratio was 86.6, up from 80.1 a year earlier, which the company attributed mainly to 7.1 points of higher catastrophe losses. Catastrophe losses totaled $1.65 billion, compared with $558 million in the prior-year quarter.

Underwriting income fell 30.1% to $2.0 billion from $2.9 billion. Auto and homeowners policies grew 3.4% and 3.3%, respectively, and Property-Liability policies in force reached 39.3 million. Homeowners premiums earned rose 11.5%, while the homeowners recorded combined ratio was 89.5, compared with 71.5 a year earlier.

Protection Services and investments

Protection Services revenue increased 6.9% to $964 million, led by Protection Plans and Roadside growth. Adjusted net income for the segment was $64 million, up $18 million from a year earlier.

Net investment income rose $228 million to $1.2 billion, reflecting higher market-based and performance-based results. The company recorded net losses on investments and derivatives of $545 million in the quarter.

Total policies in force reached 217.6 million, up 3.9%. Book value per common share was $120.23, compared with $95.95 a year earlier. Common shares outstanding fell to 248.8 million from 262.1 million. The board's quarterly dividend declared was $1.08 per share.

For the next quarter, analysts expected EPS of $9.40 and revenue of $17.62 billion. For the full year, the average analyst estimate was EPS of $35.96 and revenue of $70.19 billion.

Sources

Written with AI from the company's results filing with the SEC, analysts' estimates where we had them, and our market data, and checked against those sources before publishing. Our editorial standards.

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